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Blog

Weather forecasting and analysis, space and historic events, climate information

7:00 AM | *Windy and cooler today following the passage of a cold frontal system*

Paul Dorian

A strong cold front passed through the region in the overnight hours and cooler air will follow for today along with strong NW winds that can gust up to 30 mph or so. After a cold night with lows way down in the lower 30’s, it’ll remain on the cool side for tomorrow along with partly sunny skies. A warm front will arrive on Wednesday night with scattered showers and temperatures should surge on Thursday following its passage with Thursday afternoon highs well up in the 70’s. This front (and additional fronts) will keep it unsettled around here for the late week and weekend with a daily shot at some shower activity. Looking ahead, a colder-than-normal air mass arrives in the Mid-Atlantic/Northeast US early next week and it looks like much of next week will feature below-normal temperatures.

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7:00 AM | **Colder and unsettled for the second half of the week and weekend with the threat of rain and/or snow showers**

Paul Dorian

An unsettled day coming to the region with rain showers and windy conditions in the metro region and snow can fall in mountainous areas to the west. Chilly temperatures later in the week can be accompanied by some rain and/or snow activity and more significant precipitation is possible by the early part of the weekend.

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**Severe weather threat(s)...additional cold air outbreaks...stratospheric warming impact...recap of weekend's dramatic "back door" cold frontal passage**

Paul Dorian

Strong-to-severe thunderstorms are a threat later today and tonight across much of the eastern US including in the DC-to-Philly-to-NYC corridor as a strong cold front pushes eastward towards the Atlantic seaboard. This same frontal system resulted in numerous damaging wind gusts on Sunday across the Midwest/Mississippi Valley with a few tornadoes reported there as well and that same part of the nation will likely have a repeat performance of severe weather on Wednesday. In fact, numerous severe weather outbreaks are on the table for the month of April largely as the result of a recent stratospheric warming event which, in turn, enhances the likelihood for additional cold air outbreaks into the central and eastern states setting up “battle zone” regions. Finally, we’ll revisit the passage of a “back door” cold front this weekend that impacted the northeastern states and, in some locations, there were record-breaking temperature swings.

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7:00 AM | **Rain late today and tonight and possible strong-to-severe thunderstorms...rain can be heavy at times and there is a risk of damaging wind gusts with any late day/nighttime thunderstorm**

Paul Dorian

A strong cold front will approach the region later today and then push through late tonight bringing with it rain and potential strong-to-severe thunderstorms. The rain will be scattered though mid-afternoon and then becomes more widespread late today and tonight and it can fall heavily at times bringing the risk of flash flooding to some parts of the area. Any thunderstorm late today/tonight can result in damaging wind gusts and an isolated tornado or two cannot be ruled out.

Following the cold frontal passage, it turns much cooler on Tuesday and breezy as well with temperatures holding in the upper 50’s for afternoon highs…below-normal for the first day of April. High pressure stays in control at mid-week, and then another strong frontal system approaches on Thursday with a surge of warmth on its front side pumping temperatures to near 80 degrees along with the chance of showers and thunderstorms.

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7:00 AM | **Rain late today and tonight and possible strong-to-severe thunderstorms...rain can be heavy at times and there is a risk of damaging wind gusts with any late day/nighttime thunderstorm**

Paul Dorian

A strong cold front will approach the region later today and then push through late tonight bringing with it rain and potential strong-to-severe thunderstorms. The rain will be scattered though mid-afternoon and then becomes more widespread late today and tonight and it can fall heavily at times bringing the risk of flash flooding to some parts of the area. Any thunderstorm late today/tonight can result in damaging wind gusts and an isolated tornado or two cannot be ruled out.

Following the cold frontal passage, it turns much cooler on Tuesday and breezy as well with temperatures holding in the middle 50’s for afternoon highs…below-normal for the first day of April. High pressure stays in control at mid-week, and then another strong frontal system approaches on Thursday with a surge of warmth on its front side pumping temperatures well up into the 70’s along with the chance of showers and thunderstorms.

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7:00 AM | **Rain late today and tonight and possible strong-to-severe thunderstorms...rain can be heavy at times and there is a risk of damaging wind gusts with any late day/nighttime thunderstorm**

Paul Dorian

A strong cold front will approach the region later today and then push through late tonight bringing with it rain and potential strong-to-severe thunderstorms. The rain will be scattered though mid-afternoon and then becomes more widespread late today and tonight and it can fall heavily at times bringing the risk of flash flooding to some parts of the area. Any thunderstorm late today/tonight can result in damaging wind gusts and an isolated tornado or two cannot be ruled out.

Following the cold frontal passage, it turns much cooler on Tuesday and breezy as well with temperatures holding in the upper 50’s for afternoon highs…below-normal for the first day of April. High pressure stays in control at mid-week, and then another strong frontal system approaches on Thursday with a surge of warmth on its front side pumping temperatures well up into the 70’s along with the chance of showers and thunderstorms.

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6:15 AM | **A surge in temperatures on Saturday all along the DC-to-Philly-to-NYC corridor**

Paul Dorian

It turns slightly milder today with increasing clouds as a warm front approaches the area from our southwest and there can be a late day shower or two. Showers are likely tonight as the warm front pushes through the region and temperatures will surge on Saturday to near 80 degrees for afternoon highs. There should be some sunshine to go along with the warmth on Saturday and a stiff breeze as well from a west-to-southwest direction. This surge in temperatures will become somewhat muted on Sunday as clouds will dominate the skies and help to knock temperatures down some from tomorrow’s high levels and there will be an increasing chance of showers later in the weekend.  Looking ahead, a strong storm will pass by to the northwest of the Mid-Atlantic’s I-95 corridor region on Monday and it’ll drag a strong cold front through the area with additional shower activity and perhaps a strong thunderstorm. This frontal passage will end the warm spell leading to much colder conditions by Tuesday and its stays on the chilly side next Wednesday as well.

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6:15 AM | *Another very warm day across the region...turns cooler and unsettled this weekend*

Paul Dorian

Another warm day is coming to the metro region with plenty of sunshine and afternoon temperatures in the upper 70’s. The weekend turns cooler and unsettled with rain showers on the table and snow is likely in mountainous areas west of Denver. Cooler, unsettled weather likely continues well into next week with a continuing chance of shower activity.

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