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Blog

Weather forecasting and analysis, space and historic events, climate information

Filtering by Category: HSV

*Climatological peak of the tropical season in the Atlantic Basin and it is unusually quiet...global activity below-normal as well...watch for “home-grown” systems down the stretch*

Paul Dorian

The Atlantic Basin tropical season officially extends from June 1st to November 30th, and the climatological peak is right around the 10th of September. This year is quite unusual in that the climatological peak comes with no tropical activity whatsoever in the Atlantic Basin and the overall season is now below normal for this time of year. In fact, global activity across the entire northern hemisphere is below-normal and that breaks down to each of the oceans being quieter-than-normal (Atlantic, Pacific, Indian). One of the possible explanations for the relatively quiet tropical season across the globe is the dramatic cool down in sea surface temperatures from a year ago. Looking ahead, there is another half of the season to go for the Atlantic Basin - at least in terms of climatology - and signs point to a pickup in activity potentially beginning as soon as this weekend.

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**Cooler-than-normal air mass dominating the scene across a large part of the nation...origins in the Arctic...another widespread chilly air outbreak next week...pattern has been quite dry as well**

Paul Dorian

The month of August has been quite kind in many parts of the nation with numerous cooler-than-normal air masses dropping into the US from Canada. A strong cold front pushed off the east coast earlier this week and set the stage for widespread cooler-than-normal conditions here at midweek that extend virtually from coast to coast. This air mass had its origins in the Arctic region and has resulted in more than one hundred tied or broken daily low temperature records on Wednesday and in Atlanta, Georgia, the low temperature today was 55 degrees which tied their monthly low temperature record. I expect to see another large number of stations on Thursday morning with record or near record low temperatures in the eastern US.

Looking ahead, the pattern will repeat later next week with another much cooler-than-normal air mass dropping into the US from Canada bringing a refreshing cool start to the month of September across the eastern half of the nation. This pattern has also been quite dry in parts of the nation including the Mid-Atlantic region and the next several days don’t offer much hope with respect to the chances of some soaking rainfall.

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6:00 AM | *Cooler-than-normal air encompasses much of the nation here at mid-week*

Paul Dorian

A widespread cooler-than-normal air mass continues to reside across much of the central and eastern US here at mid-week and we’ll enjoy a comfortable rest of the week and weekend as well to close out the month of August. Temperatures will likely be confined to near the 80-degree mark during the next few days and then should reach the low-to-mid 80’s during the Labor Day weekend.

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